Philip Schrodt Presentations

All files are in PDF format.

• PaCE Conflict Forecasting Workshop, Trinity College Dublin, March 2024
  
  • Implications of Large Language Models for Political Conflict Forecasting
  
  
• Peace Research Institute, Oslo, August 2023
  
  • PLOVER Event Data Ontology
  
  
• DIA Advanced Analytics Community of Practice, January 2021
  (Similar to IU presentation but more details on ICEWS, CAMEO, and event data)
  • Technical Forecasting of Political Conflict
  
  
• Indiana University, November 2020
  • Technical Forecasting of Political Conflict
  • Video of presentation
  
  
• AESPEN @ LREC 2020 (Automated Extraction of Socio-political Events from News, Language Resources and Evaluation Conference), June 2020
  • Keynote: Current Open Questions for Operational Event Data
  • Video of presentation
  
  
• German Federal Foreign Ministry, January 2019
  • Seven suggestions for developing predictive models
  
  
• Workshop on Measuring the Political Arena, University of Minnesota, September 2018
  • Operational Choices in Generating Real Time Political Event Data
  
  
• PolMeth XXXV: 2018 Conference of the Society for Political Methodology, Brigham Young University, 18-21 July 2018
  • Taming the Firehose: Thematically summarizing very large news corpora using topic modeling
  
  
• 4th Workshop on the EU Global Conflict Risk Index, Brussels, June 2018
  • Operational Choices in Generating Real Time Political Event Data
  
  
• Permanent Mission of Australia to the United Nations, New York, March 2018
  • Forecasting of Political Conflict: Right Data, not Big Data
  
  
• German Federal Foreign Ministry, January 2018
  • Contemporary infrastructure supporting political event data
  
  
• NSF RIDIR Annual Meeting, December 2017
  • Empirical Comparison of PETRARCH-1 and 2 Verb Dictionaries
  
  
• European Political Science Association, Milan, June 2017
  • PLOVER: A new framework for political event data
  
  
• Third Workshop on the EU Global Conflict Risk Index, Brussels, May 2017
  • Technical Forecasting of Political Conflict
  
  
• Workshop on Methodological Training in Political Science and Sociology, McMaster University, May 2017
  • Social Science Data and Models in 2030
  
  
• International Methods Colloquium, March 2017
  • A Practical Guide to Current Developments in Event Data
  • Video of the talk and questions: http://www.methods-colloquium.com/single-post/2017/03/31/Phil-Schrodt-Current-Developments-in-Event-Data
  
  
• Arizona State University, February 2017
  • Technical Forecasting of Political Conflict
  
  
• Presentations from Minnesota Political Methodology Colloqium, University of Minnesota, April 2016
  • Technical Forecasting of Political Conflict
  • Event Data: Opportunities, challenges and a few observations on preparing for a career in political methodology in the 21st century
  
  
• Keynote Address, European Network for Conflict Research, Geneva, January 2016
  ENCoRe and Beyond: Seven Contributions, Seven Challenges
  

• New Directions in Text as Data, New York University, October 2015
  Comparison Metrics for Large Scale Political Event Data Sets
  

• Odum Institute, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, July 2015
  CIVET (Contentious Incident Variable Entry Template): Where we are, what should we do next?
  

• European Political Science Association, Vienna, June 2015
  Comparison Metrics for Large Scale Political Event Data Sets
  

• Presentations from Conference on Forecasting and Early Warning of Conflict and Political Instability, Peace Research Institute, Oslo, April 2015
  • Event data in forecasting models: Where does it come from,
    what can it do?
  • Open Event Data and the Prospects for Near-Real-Time Forecasting Models
  
  
• Presentations from "Big Data and Death" Workshop, University of Wisconsin-Madison, November 2014
  • Technical Forecasting of Political Conflict
  • Open Event Data: Opportunities and Challenges
  
  
• Dartmouth Dickey Center for International Understanding, October 2014
  "Big Data" and the Challenge of Forecasting Atrocities
  

• Predictive Analytics
  The Odum Institute, University of North Carolina, June 2014
  Lectures
  • Thursday: Time Series
  • Friday: Machine Learning
  Laboratory modules (typos should be corrected now)
  • Data sets
  • Thursday: Time Series
  • Friday: Machine Learning
  
  
• Presentations from the Institute for Security Studies, Pretoria, May 2014
  • Seminar on Big Data [Friday]
  • Innovation Retreat [Tuesday]
  
  
• Presentations from the 2014 International Studies Association meetings, Toronto, March 2014
  • Working Group on Conflict Forecasting [Tuesday workshop]
  • Conflict Forecasting [panel]
  • EL:DIABLO, PETRARCH and OEDA
  • Best Practices in Data Collection
  
  
• Forecasting Conflict
  University of Konstanz, Germany, October 2013
  • Lecture 1: Technical Conflict Forecasting: An Overview
  • Lecture 2: Major U.S. Forecasting Projects
  • Lecture 3: Models and Metrics
  • Lecture 4: Sequence-based and Machine Learning Approaches

  Videos of all of the lectures are available here.
  

• Conflict Prediction: Seven Opportunities, Seven Challenges
  European Network for Conflict Research (ENCoRe), University of Essex, UK, September 2013.
  

• Big Data: Separating the Hope from the Hype
  The Odum Institute, University of North Carolina, May 2013
  • Module 1: Introduction, Hardware, Software, Ethics
  • Hadoop and MapReduce: Ben Bagozzi and John Beieler
  • Module 2: Natural Language Processing
  • Event Data Coding with TABARI
  • Module 3: Supervised learning and classification
  • Module 4: Unsupervised learning and clustering
  
  
• Quantitative Forecasting of Political Conflict
  U.S. State Department Bureau of Intelligence and Research Workshop on Data-Driven Forecasting and Quantitative Analysis, April 2013.
  

• Syllabus for PL SC 597 Event Data Analysis (graduate).
  Pennsylvania State University, Spring 2013.
  

• A Practical Guide to Generating Event Data
  Indiana University, October 2012. This is an extended 150-slide introduction to the entire process of automated event coding.
  • Two hour video of the presentation [Thanks to Maria Kaylen and the IU Workshop in Methods]
  
  
• Academic and Open Source Approaches: Why 2012 is not 2002
  GEOINT, Orlando,FL, October 2012
  

• Structures of Militarized Conflict in a Post-Sovereign World
  Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Geneva, September 2012
  

• Technical Political Forecasting using Event Data
  U.S. Holocaust Memorial Museum, September 2012
  

• Human Geography: Open Source Data, Methods and Forecasting
  National Geospatial Agency, September 2012
  

• Current State of Automated Event Data Coding
  Workshop on Transforming Political Violence, Peace Research Institute Oslo, March 2012
  

• Statistical Forecasting using Political Event Data
  Centra Technologies, December 2011
  

• Technical Political Forecasting using Event Data
  Council on Foreign Relations Workshop on Forecasting Political Instablility, March 2011
  

• Automated Production of High-Volume, Near-Real-Time Political Event Data
  Florida State University and Princeton University, February 2011
  



• Tools for Text Workshop, University of Washington (Seattle) June 2010
  • Videos of some of the presentations from the workshop, along with links to supplementary materials
  • A Very Brief Introduction to Text as Data
  • Political Event Data Analysis: Automated Coding and Conflict Forecasting
  • Text Processing using Perl (arguments for learning programming are still valid, but now, learn Python)
  • Event Data Coding with TABARI

LAST UPDATED: 30 June 2020